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Apr 27, 2025

Global Polyurethane Supply and Demand Market: New Expanded MDI Capacity in the Next Five Years Will Still Mainly Come from China

In 2024, the global MDI capacity was 10.99 million tons per year. From 2020 - 2024, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of global MDI capacity was 5.3%. It is expected that by 2029, the global MDI capacity will reach 12.5 million tons per year, and from 2025 - 2029, the CAGR of global MDI capacity will be 3.1%.

In 2024, China's MDI capacity was 4.99 million tons per year, accounting for 45% of the global total capacity (this proportion was 37% in 2020). From 2020 - 2024, the CAGR of China's MDI capacity was 10.6%. It is expected that by 2029, China's MDI capacity will reach 6.25 million tons per year, and from 2025 - 2029, the CAGR of China's MDI capacity will be 5.5%.
 
Global Regional Capacity and Outlook from 2020 - 2029 (10,000 tons/year)

Region 2020 2024 2029
Asia-Pacific 638 894 1250
Europe 24% 24% -
Americas 14% 14% -
Middle East 4% 4% -

In 2024, China's MDI capacity accounted for 45% of the global total.
 
In the next five years, the growth rate of China's MDI capacity will be slightly higher than the global average. Besides China, there is also the technical transformation and expansion project of the Geismar plant in the United States (scheduled for 2026).
 

Global Polyurethane Supply and Demand Market: New Expanded Polyether Capacity Will Still Mainly Come from China

In 2024, the global polyether capacity was 16.14 million tons per year. From 2020 - 2024, the CAGR of global polyether capacity was 7.0%. It is expected that by 2029, the global polyether capacity will reach 20.04 million tons per year, and from 2025 - 2029, the CAGR of global polyether capacity will be 3.7%.
 
In 2024, China's polyether capacity was 9.03 million tons per year, accounting for 56% of the global total capacity (this proportion was 45% in 2020). From 2020 - 2024, the CAGR of China's polyether capacity was 10.9%. It is expected that by 2029, China's polyether capacity will reach 14.33 million tons per year, and from 2025 - 2029, the CAGR of China's polyether capacity will be 12.2%.
 
Global Regional Capacity and Outlook from 2020 - 2029 (10,000 tons/year)

Region 2020 2024 2029
Asia-Pacific 1104.6 1474.8 2004
Europe 13% 13% -
Americas 16% 16% -
Middle East 3% 3% -
Africa & Oceania 0% 0% -

In 2024, China's polyether capacity accounted for 56% of the global total.

In the next five years, the growth rate of China's polyether capacity will be significantly higher than that of the global polyether capacity and the growth rate of China's MDI capacity during the same period.

Global Polyurethane Supply and Demand Market: The Asia-Pacific Region Leads the Growth of Global Polyurethane Consumption

Global MDI + polyether consumption: From 2020 - 2024, the CAGR was 2.5%.

Region 2020 2024 CAGR
Asia-Pacific 951 1120 4.2%
North America 428 406 1.9%
Europe, Middle East, and Africa 347 322 -1.3%
South America 67 74 2.5%
China - - 7.4%

From 2020 - 2022, the global polyurethane supply and demand market was deeply affected by the impact of the pandemic. On the supply side, there were force majeure events in MDI plants in Europe and the United States, mainly due to disruptions or restrictions in the supply of upstream raw materials and aging of the plants. On the demand side, economic and manufacturing activities slowed down, and people's consumption concepts changed (such as working from home and paying more attention to health and exercise), which brought business opportunities to the downstream polyurethane market.
 
From 2023 to the present, the global polyurethane supply and demand pattern is being reshaped. On the supply side, affected by geopolitical events, the production costs of energy and upstream raw materials for polyurethanes in Europe and the United States are high, the progress of new expansion projects has slowed down, and some plants have even been shut down. Meanwhile, the capacity of plants in the Asia-Pacific region, especially those of Chinese enterprises, continues to expand. For example, in October 2024, Dow closed its polyether plant in Argentina. At the same time, both Dow and Shell are evaluating their polyurethane assets in Europe and planning strategic adjustments to improve asset efficiency.

On the demand side, the international political and trade situation is complex and volatile, there is a regional transfer of the industrial chain, people's consumption willingness has weakened, and the demand for health - and environmental - friendly products is increasing day by day...

In March - April 2025, the United States announced the imposition of additional tariffs on many countries around the world, triggering a strong wait - and - see sentiment among participants in various industrial chains.

Global Polyurethane Supply and Demand Market: Building Insulation Accounts for Nearly Half, and the Growth Rates of Home Appliances and Cold Boxes Are High

Proportion of Consumption in Global Major Downstream Hard - Foam Markets

Market Proportion
Building Insulation 47%
Home Appliances 17%
Adhesives/Sealants/Paints 12%
Automotive 21%
Others -

Taking polymeric MDI as an example, in 2024, the global consumption of polymeric MDI was 6.01 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.5%. The growth points mainly came from the increased consumption of hard - foams in industries such as home appliances, building insulation, and shipping in the Asia - Pacific region, leading the growth of global polymeric MDI consumption.

In the home appliance industry, the global production of refrigerators and freezers increased by about 6% year - on - year, and the increase mainly came from China. In the refrigerated container sector, the production of refrigerated containers in China increased by more than 40% year - on - year. In the building insulation industry, the global construction industry grew by 3.5% in 2024, and the demand for PU building insulation was generally stable. In the automotive industry, in 2024, the global automotive production was 93.95 million units, a year - on - year decrease of 0.5%. Benefiting from the continuous increase in the penetration rate of new energy vehicles, the consumption growth rate of polyurethane materials such as polymeric MDI in the global automotive industry was higher than the global automotive production growth rate.
 

Topwin is one of the leading & professional manufacturers and solution providers with more than 20 years of experience and has domestic top-level engineers in the silicone surfactant industry. Specializing in research and development, production, sales and marketing of silicone-based special functional performance materials, Topwin also serves as a professional provider of technical services. Our products are mainly used in Polyurethane Foam, Corp Protection, Coatings and InksLeather & Textile, Release Coating for Paper and Film, Personal Care and others.